Risk Free Bet Calculator

Work out the lay stake and liability for a bookmaker bet that refunds some or all of your stake if it loses. Enter the back and lay odds, commission and Cashback value to compare both outcomes. Cash refunds and free-bet refunds have different values. The calculator is free to use without signing up.

How to use the Risk Free Bet Calculator

  1. Select Risk-free (cashback on loss) under Bet type. Enter your cash Stake and bookmaker Odds.
  2. Enter the exchange Odds and Commission (%).
  3. Set Cashback value (£) to the applicable cash refund or your explicit estimate of a token refund’s cash value. Check the cap and refund condition.
  4. Compare Lay stake, Liability, If back bet wins and If lay bet wins. Recalculate if the lay price changes before matching.

Modes and outcomes

Risk free models a cash stake with cashback on a losing back bet. It does not mean nothing can go wrong, and it is different from using an already-issued free bet.

For a cash refund, use the amount the terms actually repay. A £10 free-bet refund is not £10 cash: its eventual value depends on the conversion bet, odds and commission. If you enter an estimated value, the losing-bet result is an estimate too. Use the main calculator in SR or SNR mode when converting the issued token.

Worked examples

£10 cash refund

Back £10 at 2.00, lay at 2.00, set commission and deductions to zero and Cashback value (£) to £10. Assume the full £10 is refunded as cash if the bookmaker bet loses.

The lay stake and liability are £5. A bookmaker win produces £10 profit minus £5 liability; a loss produces -£10 stake + £10 refund + £5 lay winnings. Both results are £5.

Refund valued at £7

Keep the £10 stake and 2.00 prices but enter £7 Cashback value (£), for example as an explicit estimate of the cash value of a future free-bet refund.

The lay stake and liability are £6.50. Both modelled outcomes are £3.50, but the losing-bet result depends on actually realising that £7 value. A token refund is not immediate cash.

These examples use the stated inputs, not current market prices. Check settlement rules, matched amounts and available odds. Currency rounding can leave small differences between outcomes.

Adjustments and changing odds

Custom Stake changes the balance between the two outcomes. Only adjust it deliberately, and check which result carries the greater loss. Cashback value (£) must reflect the offer you have, not the stake you hope will be refunded.

Frequently asked questions

Is a risk-free offer the same as a free bet?

No. A refund offer normally starts with your cash stake. A free-bet token has already been issued and needs its own SR or SNR calculation.

Should Cashback equal the advertised token amount?

Only a cash refund can be entered at its cash face value. For a token, use an explicitly estimated conversion value and recognise the uncertainty.

What if the refund is capped?

Enter only the eligible refund, even if your bookmaker stake is larger.

Does the calculator check promotion eligibility?

No. Check opt-in, minimum odds, qualifying markets and refund conditions with the offer.

What if the lay only partly matches?

Record the matched amount and price, then use the Unwanted Lay Calculator to calculate the remainder.

Related guides and calculators

For a standard single back-and-lay calculation, use the Matched Betting Calculator.